Wisconsin Poll Indicates Tight Presidential Race With Kennedy

A recent Quinnipiac University poll shows that President Biden’s clear lead over former President Donald Trump in the battleground state of Wisconsin narrows considerably when third-party candidates are included in the race. In a head-to-head matchup, Biden receives 50% support among registered voters, while Trump garners 44%.

But the introduction of independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy, Jr., Green Party candidate Jill Stein and independent candidate Cornel West tightens the race. In this scenario, Biden receives 40%, Trump 39%, Kennedy, Jr. 12%, Stein 4%, and West 1%, suggesting that minor candidates could play a significant role in the state’s presidential election.

The poll, conducted May 2-6 among 1,457 Wisconsin registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.6 percentage points, contrasts with other recent surveys. A Marquette University Law School poll from mid-April showed Trump leading Biden 51% to 49%, while RealClearPolitics indicates a 0.5 percentage point average lead for Trump in the state.

Both Trump and Biden have made efforts to campaign in Wisconsin, with Trump focusing on the economy and immigration, and Biden emphasizing his vision of “preserving democracy” and economic “achievements.” Independent candidates have until Aug. 6 to file petitions for ballot access, leaving the final number of choices for voters uncertain.

With Biden losing enthusiasm with his far-left voters over the Biden’s policies on the Israel-Hamas war, he is also losing support from more moderate Democrat voters like liberal comedian Michael Rappaport, who has been vocal about Biden’s lack of support for Israel.
This difficult-to-navigate situation will almost certainly cost Biden votes — no matter what he does.