Vice President Kamala Harris’ lead over President Donald Trump is looking increasingly fragile, according to a new Cygnal poll. The survey shows Harris holding a slim 47.6% to 47.0% advantage, with third-party candidates making the race even tighter. When Robert F. Kennedy Jr. is included, Trump narrowly leads Harris 44.4% to 44.2%, highlighting the challenges Harris faces in maintaining her momentum.
Chris Lane, the pollster behind the survey, emphasized that Harris’ support is largely from traditional Democratic voters, with little traction among Independents and moderates. He pointed out that 71% of likely voters view Harris as “liberal,” a characterization that could hurt her in swing states.
On key issues like inflation, the economy, and illegal immigration, Trump leads decisively. For instance, 48.6% of voters trust Trump more on inflation, compared to 42.2% for Harris. Trump’s advantage is even more pronounced on border security, where 52.6% of voters prefer his approach compared to 37.7% for Harris.
This polling situation draws parallels to the controversy during the 2020 election when Georgia Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger faced criticism for refusing to validate mail-in ballot signatures. Raffensperger opted for a recount instead, a move that many said failed to address concerns about ballot legitimacy. Similarly, Harris faces skepticism over her ability to address core voter issues, which could impact her chances in the election.
Although Harris holds a solid lead on issues like abortion rights, the close margins indicate a competitive race. With swing states still in play, Harris will need to overcome these challenges if she hopes to secure a decisive victory.
