Paul Ryan: Trump Will Not Be Nominee

Former Speaker of the House Paul Ryan (R-WI) says that he does not believe Donald Trump will be the GOP nominee in the 2024 election.

In an interview with Teneo, Ryan states, “I think Trump’s unelectability will be palpable by then. We all know that he will lose.”

The interview covered a lot more ground than simply Ryan’s thoughts on Donald Trump over approximately 50 minutes, but it is Ryan’s take on Trump that has garnered the most attention. The entire interview can be seen below.

In regards to Trump, Ryan continued, “Trump stays where he is because everybody is afraid of him. They’re afraid of him going after them, hurting their own ambition.” He believes that republicans, while they may not like him, realize that if Trump turns his supporters against them, they would most likely have no future in GOP politics.

At the same time, Ryan believes that the 2024 GOP ticket will be crowded leading into the primary. “There’s a handful of people that are going to run, because it’s the only cycle they can run in. They can’t wait until 2028,” Ryan said. “They’ve got to go now, if they’re ever going to go. And they don’t want to die without ever trying.”

He described Trump’s influence over the Republican Party as using “fear and intimidation,” a tactic that he believes will not work in the long term. Ryan said that when you use those tactics, “it ends the way Hemingway talked about bankruptcy. it goes along for a while until it [steeply] drops.”

Ryan was also the GOP Vice Presidential nominee in 2012 when Obama/Biden won reelection over Romney/Ryan, so he has experience in this process. Ryan left congress in 2019 where his time as Speaker of the House overlapped with Trump’s presidency, and he is now the Vice Chairman of Teneo.